Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003142 0.003444 0.003766 0.004135 0.004548 0.004996 0.005521
2026-01-04 0.002652 0.003079 0.003567 0.004169 0.004894 0.005745 0.006827
2026-01-11 0.002323 0.002802 0.003375 0.004115 0.005055 0.006221 0.007794
2026-01-18 0.002093 0.002601 0.003231 0.004078 0.005200 0.006656 0.008721
2026-01-25 0.001906 0.002429 0.003097 0.004025 0.005300 0.007021 0.009572
2026-02-01 0.001777 0.002316 0.003023 0.004034 0.005473 0.007486 0.010595
2026-02-08 0.001647 0.002188 0.002915 0.003983 0.005547 0.007808 0.011434
2026-02-15 0.001526 0.002062 0.002798 0.003905 0.005569 0.008049 0.012164
2026-02-22 0.001450 0.001993 0.002754 0.003925 0.005733 0.008509 0.013281
2026-03-01 0.001406 0.001965 0.002764 0.004023 0.006020 0.009181 0.014815
2026-03-08 0.001322 0.001873 0.002674 0.003961 0.006047 0.009436 0.015662
2026-03-15 0.001243 0.001783 0.002580 0.003883 0.006042 0.009631 0.016419
2026-03-22 0.001176 0.001709 0.002511 0.003846 0.006109 0.009974 0.017524
2026-03-29 0.001129 0.001665 0.002484 0.003877 0.006297 0.010549 0.019152
2026-04-05 0.001068 0.001595 0.002412 0.003828 0.006339 0.010864 0.020310
2026-04-12 0.001017 0.001536 0.002353 0.003794 0.006403 0.011223 0.021601
2026-04-19 0.000966 0.001476 0.002289 0.003745 0.006434 0.011520 0.022798
2026-04-26 0.000931 0.001438 0.002259 0.003754 0.006572 0.012037 0.024544
2026-05-03 0.000888 0.001385 0.002200 0.003707 0.006599 0.012331 0.025830
2026-05-10 0.000844 0.001328 0.002131 0.003635 0.006572 0.012512 0.026873
2026-05-17 0.000818 0.001300 0.002111 0.003653 0.006723 0.013079 0.028928
2026-05-24 0.000805 0.001295 0.002129 0.003743 0.007025 0.014001 0.032016
2026-05-31 0.000770 0.001249 0.002072 0.003686 0.007019 0.014245 0.033395